Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.06
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
14%
3.53
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
7%
9.41
2/X
7%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.34/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.58
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 64%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.5 Crosses 13.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
213 Passes 208
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
21.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
13.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
04.02.2023 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
04.11.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
17.09.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-0
AWAY Livingston
0.75 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
409 Passes 201
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock squeezed past Livingston 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 63% of the ball to Livingston's 37%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 51%, draw 27%, Livingston 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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