Trelleborgs FF 0-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.88
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
4%
13.25
X/1
14%
6.06
X/2
8%
5.26
X/X
17%
5.45
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.18
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.00
-12% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
06.05.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.03.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
0-1
AWAY Varbergs
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs edged past Trelleborgs FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Varbergs made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 64% of the ball to Varbergs's 36%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 0.50 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs?

Trelleborgs FF 0-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 39%, draw 30%, Varbergs 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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