Umea FC 1-1 United Nordic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.5
No
35%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
+2.6pp
35%
BTTS No
38%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY United Nordic EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.63/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.82
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY United Nordic
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 United Nordic United Nordic 0-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
27.08.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-2 HT 1-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
16.04.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 2-3 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
1-1
AWAY United Nordic
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs United Nordic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC and United Nordic shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was United Nordic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Umea FC had 45% of the ball to United Nordic's 55%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Umea FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Umea FC and 1.33 for United Nordic.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs United Nordic?

Umea FC 1-1 United Nordic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs United Nordic?

Before kick-off our model rated an United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 28%, draw 28%, United Nordic 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (United Nordic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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