United Nordic 0-1 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United Nordic EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.57
+29% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
483 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United Nordic
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
5 Corners 5
27.08.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-2 HT 1-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
16.04.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 2-3 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United Nordic
0-1
AWAY Umea FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH United Nordic vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC squeezed past United Nordic 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. United Nordic carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, United Nordic had 62% of the ball to Umea FC's 38%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Umea FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for United Nordic and 3.00 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of United Nordic vs Umea FC?

United Nordic 0-1 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United Nordic vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split United Nordic 60%, draw 19%, Umea FC 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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