AFC Eskilstuna 1-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.02/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.52
+2% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
1-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna and Karlbergs BK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Eskilstuna at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 49% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 51%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs BK?

AFC Eskilstuna 1-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Eskilstuna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 48%, draw 21%, Karlbergs BK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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