Girona vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Girona
İS2
3-0
HT 2-0
Leganes
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Girona
İS2
0-2
HT 0-2
Girona
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
Girona 4-3 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Girona edged past Leganes 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Girona had 55% of the ball to Leganes's 45%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.97 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Girona's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 0.50 for Leganes.
What was the final score of Girona vs Leganes?
Girona 4-3 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Girona 49%, draw 28%, Leganes 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.