Osasuna vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Osasuna
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Valladolid
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
3-2
HT 1-2
Osasuna
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Osasuna
İS1
Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna squeezed past Valladolid 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Osasuna had 50% of the ball to Valladolid's 50%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.48 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Osasuna's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osasuna and 0.67 for Valladolid.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Valladolid?
Osasuna 1-0 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Valladolid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 53%, draw 24%, Valladolid 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.