Eibar 0-2 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

Eibar
0-2 HT 0-2
Elche
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 37% vs market 36.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
5.4
X/2
13%
5.61
X/X
20%
3.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.22
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.9pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.05
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
27.3 Crosses 24.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Elche
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
280 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
19.08.2023 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
20.02.2021 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
30.09.2020 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
16.02.2015 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
19.09.2014 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-2 Eibar Eibar İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
0-2
AWAY Elche
0.96 xG 1.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
427 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche got the better of Eibar 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Elche made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Eibar had 56% of the ball to Elche's 44%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.96 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eibar and 0.67 for Elche.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Elche?

Eibar 0-2 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eibar 38%, draw 33%, Elche 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eibar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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