Sporting Gijon 2-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.71
X/2
6%
6.83
X/X
11%
4.04
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.32/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.6 Crosses 22.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
351 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İSPK
21.02.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
01.11.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
08.06.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
21.10.2018 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
22.04.2018 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-0
AWAY Cadiz
1.08 xG 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
250 Passes 398
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon beat Cadiz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 40% of the ball to Cadiz's 60%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.50 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?

Sporting Gijon 2-0 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 45%, draw 28%, Cadiz 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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