Gernika 1-1 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.87
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Utebo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Gernika Gernika 2-0 HT 2-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
25.11.2023 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
25.03.2023 Utebo Utebo 0-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
05.11.2022 Gernika Gernika 0-2 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
1-1
AWAY Utebo
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika and Utebo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gernika at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gernika had 44% of the ball to Utebo's 56%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utebo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gernika and 0.75 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Utebo?

Gernika 1-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gernika 41%, draw 29%, Utebo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gernika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
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