Gernika 2-0 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.1pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.74
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Utebo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
25.03.2023 Utebo Utebo 0-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
05.11.2022 Gernika Gernika 0-2 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
2-0
AWAY Utebo
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika got the better of Utebo 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Gernika made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Gernika had 40% of the ball to Utebo's 60%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utebo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gernika and 1.00 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Utebo?

Gernika 2-0 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gernika 37%, draw 29%, Utebo 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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