Arenas de Getxo 3-1 Valle Egües — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Valle Egües EU Bookmakers 14%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.09/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.03
+56% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valle Egües
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Valle Egües Valle Egües 0-1 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
3-1
AWAY Valle Egües
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Valle Egües
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo saw off Valle Egües 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 57% of the ball to Valle Egües's 43%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Valle Egües?

Arenas de Getxo 3-1 Valle Egües in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Valle Egües?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 57%, draw 21%, Valle Egües 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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