Real Sociedad III 3-2 Brea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brea EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.39/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.37
+0% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Brea
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.00 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 126
66% Pass Accuracy 45%
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Brea Brea 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
25.03.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-0 HT 1-0 Brea Brea İS4
06.11.2022 Brea Brea 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
3-2
AWAY Brea
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Brea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III squeezed past Brea 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad III as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 60% of the ball to Brea's 40%, shots finished 22-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad III had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad III and 0.00 for Brea.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Brea?

Real Sociedad III 3-2 Brea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Brea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad III win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 47%, draw 26%, Brea 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad III) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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