Guijuelo 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.10/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.86
+1% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ourense CF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
12.03.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
23.10.2022 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-1
AWAY Ourense CF
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Guijuelo had 67% of the ball to Ourense CF's 33%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ourense CF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guijuelo and 0.67 for Ourense CF.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Ourense CF?

Guijuelo 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 34%, draw 29%, Ourense CF 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ourense CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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