SS Reyes 1-1 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
2.83/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.84
+64% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +76%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villanovense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.11.2023 Villanovense Villanovense 0-2 HT 0-0 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
1-1
AWAY Villanovense
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes and Villanovense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SS Reyes at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SS Reyes had 49% of the ball to Villanovense's 51%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Villanovense?

SS Reyes 1-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 55%, draw 22%, Villanovense 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Reyes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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