Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
2.52/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.70
+38% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Köln II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
05.03.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Köln II Köln II 4-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
16.05.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
02.02.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-3 HT 2-2 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
07.02.2015 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
16.08.2014 Köln II Köln II 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln II squeezed past Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.33 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 41%, draw 31%, Köln II 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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