Canberra United (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 2 Nov 2024

Canberra United (K)
3-2 HT 2-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.8pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.52/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.45
+49% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
11.5 Crosses 14.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.17 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 326
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
10.12.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
05.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
27.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
04.02.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
3-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.29 xG 1.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
165 Passes 297
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) edged past Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Canberra United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 38% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 62%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 1.29 to 1.94 — on chances, Brisbane Roar (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Canberra United (K) and 2.17 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Canberra United (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 35%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar (K) 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
2 Nov 2024
06:15 Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Sydney (K) Analysis →
09:00 Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Analysis →