Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.16/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.39
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +90%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
19.0 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
266 Passes 264
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
07.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
3-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
2.11 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
288 Passes 251
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) saw off Sydney (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 51% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.11 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 0.50 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 27%, draw 25%, Sydney (K) 49%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
2 Nov 2024
08:00 Canberra United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Analysis →
09:00 Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Analysis →