Wellington Phoenix 0-2 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.64
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
9%
5.66
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.78
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 39%
+18% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0-2
AWAY Auckland
0.83 xG 2.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
387 Passes 389
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland saw off Wellington Phoenix 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Auckland found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 50% of the ball to Auckland's 50%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.83 to 2.40.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?

Wellington Phoenix 0-2 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 38%, draw 27%, Auckland 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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