Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 Adelaide United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 2 Nov 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
3-4 HT 1-3
Adelaide United
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
7%
5.5
X/2
18%
6.42
X/X
8%
5.79
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
3.81
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.89/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.72
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
19.4 Crosses 20.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
390 Passes 402
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.09.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUK
24.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
15.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
29.08.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUK
31.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
19.02.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 4-4 HT 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3-4
AWAY Adelaide United
2.31 xG 2.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 35
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United edged past Western Sydney Wanderers 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Adelaide United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Adelaide United's 46%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.31 to 2.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.83 for Adelaide United.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United?

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 37%, draw 23%, Adelaide United 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
2 Nov 2024
07:00 Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland Analysis →
09:00 Central Coast Mariners vs Perth Glory Analysis →