Adelaide United 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - FFA Cup, 12 Sep 2024

Adelaide United
2-1 HT 1-0
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅12/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - FFA Cup – 2024

Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.51/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.37
-31% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
25.6 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0

Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.76 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
372 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
15.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
29.08.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUK
31.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
19.02.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 4-4 HT 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
20.03.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS

Adelaide United 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
2-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.72 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 3
509 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 28
44 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Adelaide United had 54% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 46%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.72 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adelaide United and 2.33 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Adelaide United 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - FFA Cup on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 34%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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