Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Nov 2024

Mechelen
1-1 HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
14%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.65
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.65
X/2
17%
4.7
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
2.88
2/X EV+ ✓
12%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.06/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.18
+67% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.1 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 4-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
19.03.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
06.08.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.12.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.10.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK

Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
2.01 xG 1.45
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
490 Passes 215
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen and Union Saint-Gilloise shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Mechelen had 67% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 33%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.01 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mechelen and 1.00 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Mechelen 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 34%, draw 29%, Union Saint-Gilloise 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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