OH Leuven 0-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.41
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
11%
9.43
X/2
17%
3.96
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.21
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.35/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.08
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
15.0 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.98 xG 2.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 422
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
26.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.12.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
14.08.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
23.12.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK
15.12.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-4 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
0-1
AWAY Club Brugge
1.31 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
368 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge squeezed past OH Leuven 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 49% of the ball to Club Brugge's 51%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.31 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OH Leuven and 2.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Club Brugge?

OH Leuven 0-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 30%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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