FC Minsk 1-1 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.95
No
64%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.53
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 41% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.6pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.40
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
04.08.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
17.03.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
18.10.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 5-0 HT 3-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
19.06.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
24.10.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-6 HT 0-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-1
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk and Slavia Mozyr shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FC Minsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, FC Minsk had 52% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 48%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Minsk and 2.00 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

FC Minsk 1-1 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 41%, draw 24%, Slavia Mozyr 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Minsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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