BATE Borisov 0-3 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
20%
+12.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 60%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.57/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.73
-41% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
26.11.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 3-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
10.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
19.04.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
24.10.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
25.06.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
0-3
AWAY Neman Grodno
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno cruised past BATE Borisov 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 46% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 54%, shots finished 3-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.83 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?

BATE Borisov 0-3 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 32%, draw 25%, Neman Grodno 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5
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