Neman Grodno 1-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.85/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.02
+9% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
0W-3D-3L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 3-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
10.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
19.04.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
24.10.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
25.06.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
27.04.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-0 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
1-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno nicked a narrow win over BATE Borisov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 61% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 39%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.33 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs BATE Borisov?

Neman Grodno 1-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 45%, draw 25%, BATE Borisov 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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