Dinamo Brest 6-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Jun 2024

Dinamo Brest
6-1 HT 2-0
Dnepr Mogilev
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dinamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 29% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Brest v Dnepr Mogilev — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.39
+15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Dinamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 4-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
22.05.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
01.11.2014 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
09.08.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
25.05.2014 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-2 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR

Dinamo Brest 6-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
6-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest ran out comfortable winners over Dnepr Mogilev 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 52% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 48%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Dinamo Brest 6-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 58%, draw 22%, Dnepr Mogilev 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
15 Jun 2024
16:00 Slutsk vs Dinamo Minsk Analysis →
20:00 Neman Grodno vs BATE Borisov Analysis →