Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.83/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.82
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.08.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
29.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-3 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
14.05.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0-2
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali got the better of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 45% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 55%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.80 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Arda Kardzhali?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 35%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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