Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.13/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.98
+25% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-0D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
03.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
27.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2-2
AWAY CSKA Sofia
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and CSKA Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 41% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24%, draw 27%, CSKA Sofia 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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