Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 46%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.43/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.50
+17% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +90%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
27.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over CSKA Sofia 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Lokomotiv Plovdiv made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 51% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.33 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 36%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ BTTS No
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