Cherno More Varna 3-1 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.05/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.54
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-2 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
28.07.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-3 HT 1-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
3-1
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna beat Levski Krumovgrad 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 56% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.50 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Cherno More Varna 3-1 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 54%, draw 26%, Levski Krumovgrad 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
26 May 2024
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