Levski Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.4pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.88/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -73%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
01.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.06.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 75% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 25%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Sofia and 3.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Levski Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 50%, draw 23%, Ludogorets Razgrad 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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