SonderjyskE 1-4 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.08
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
12%
7.46
X/2
12%
4.71
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.67
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.17/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.02
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
15.9 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Randers FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
264 Passes 301
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
20.03.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
08.08.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
13.05.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
20.12.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
25.10.2020 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 1-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-4
AWAY Randers FC
1.26 xG 3.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
550 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC swept aside SonderjyskE 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 63% of the ball to Randers FC's 37%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.26 to 3.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.50 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Randers FC?

SonderjyskE 1-4 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 30%, draw 27%, Randers FC 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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