Randers FC 1-2 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
13%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
9%
8.42
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
14%
23.15
2/2
8%
6.09
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.73/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
-2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.0 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
283 Passes 264
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
08.08.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
13.05.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
20.12.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
25.10.2020 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 1-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
05.03.2020 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-2
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.63 xG 1.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
372 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE edged past Randers FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Randers FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Randers FC had 58% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 42%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.63 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Randers FC and 0.83 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs SonderjyskE?

Randers FC 1-2 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 47%, draw 31%, SonderjyskE 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Randers FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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