Aalborg 0-4 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Aug 2024

Aalborg
0-4 HT 0-2
Brondby
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Aalborg vs Brondby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.94
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
10%
8.79
X/2
17%
4.52
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.32
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v Brondby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.42
-30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.8 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Aalborg vs Brondby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brondby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 384
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2022 Brondby Brondby 3-2 HT 2-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
21.08.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
15.05.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-3 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
14.04.2022 Brondby Brondby 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
20.03.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
26.09.2021 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Aalborg 0-4 Brondby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
0-4
AWAY Brondby
1.22 xG 2.23
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
257 Passes 595
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
22 Box Touches 54
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby ran out comfortable winners over Aalborg 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aalborg had 33% of the ball to Brondby's 67%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.22 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aalborg and 1.50 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Brondby?

Aalborg 0-4 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 30%, draw 22%, Brondby 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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