Kopenhag 1-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
15.35
X/1
13%
3.91
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
12%
5.89
2/1
13%
21.45
2/2
9%
8.15
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.89/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.8 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Viborg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.73 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
03.09.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
29.05.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 0-2 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
16.04.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
19.03.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
31.07.2022 Viborg Viborg 4-2 HT 2-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag and Viborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kopenhag and 1.50 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Viborg?

Kopenhag 1-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 48%, draw 29%, Viborg 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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