PSIS Semarang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.69
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +61%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
262 Passes 459
30.01.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
29.03.2023 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-2 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
23.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
02.02.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
03.10.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-3 HT 1-2 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
20.09.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-4 HT 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past PSIS Semarang 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Persebaya Surabaya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PSIS Semarang and 1.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

PSIS Semarang 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 36%, draw 28%, Persebaya Surabaya 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PSIS Semarang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSIS Semarang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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