Caen vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Caen vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
3-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Bastia
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
Caen 2-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Caen beat Bastia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Caen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Caen had 46% of the ball to Bastia's 54%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.44 to 0.92 — on chances, Bastia could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 0.83 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Caen vs Bastia?
Caen 2-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caen 40%, draw 32%, Bastia 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.