Cheonan City 2-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 24% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 61%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.78/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.81
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.0 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 2-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
10.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-4 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
05.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
01.03.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 1-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
2-3
AWAY Busan I Park
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
481 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Cheonan City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 56% of the ball to Busan I Park's 44%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Cheonan City and 2.00 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Busan I Park?

Cheonan City 2-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 21%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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