Busan I Park 2-3 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.25
-22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.1 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-4 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
05.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
01.03.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 1-3 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-3
AWAY Cheonan City
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City edged past Busan I Park 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 59% of the ball to Cheonan City's 41%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Cheonan City?

Busan I Park 2-3 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 48%, draw 26%, Cheonan City 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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