Gimpo Citizen 2-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.67
-6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +82%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
30.08.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-4 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
09.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
03.05.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2-1
AWAY Seongnam
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen nicked a narrow win over Seongnam 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Gimpo Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 40% of the ball to Seongnam's 60%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.00 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Seongnam?

Gimpo Citizen 2-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 37%, draw 30%, Seongnam 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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