Seongnam 2-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.03/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.01
-18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-4 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
09.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
03.05.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
2-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam nicked a narrow win over Gimpo Citizen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Seongnam found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seongnam had 63% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 37%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Seongnam and 1.33 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen?

Seongnam 2-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 37%, draw 31%, Gimpo Citizen 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seongnam) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seongnam) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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