Asan Mugunghwa 4-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.09/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.78
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Cheongju FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-2 HT 1-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
18.04.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
4-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa swept aside Cheongju FC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Asan Mugunghwa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 64% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 36%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.00 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC?

Asan Mugunghwa 4-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 36%, draw 28%, Cheongju FC 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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