02/11/2024
·
14:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Zrinski Jurjevac vs Vukovar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
22%
Draw
27%
48%
Away Win
54%
60%
Under 2.5
59%
40%
Over 2.5
41%
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
54%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zrinski Jurjevac v Vukovar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zrinski Jurjevac
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vukovar
EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-17%
/
+2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
248 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
–
Zrinski Jurjevac vs Vukovar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Zrinski Jurjevac
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Vukovar
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
3
Total Shots
17
0
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Zrinski Jurjevac vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vukovar saw off Zrinski Jurjevac 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Vukovar?
Zrinski Jurjevac 1-3 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Vukovar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 30%, draw 22%, Vukovar 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vukovar)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HIR2
More Croatia - 2.HNL
2 Nov 2024