HNK Cibalia 1-0 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.30/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.28
+80% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-4 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
27.04.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
02.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
22.09.2021 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
25.09.2019 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-0
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia squeezed past Bijelo Brdo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 54% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Bijelo Brdo?

HNK Cibalia 1-0 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 47%, draw 30%, Bijelo Brdo 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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