Bijelo Brdo 0-4 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Bijelo Brdo win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.50
-19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
3W-1D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
02.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
22.09.2021 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
25.09.2019 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0-4
AWAY HNK Cibalia
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia ran out comfortable winners over Bijelo Brdo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bijelo Brdo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 46% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 54%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 0.50 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia?

Bijelo Brdo 0-4 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 52%, draw 26%, HNK Cibalia 23%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bijelo Brdo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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