Den Bosch 1-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.7
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
9%
5.57
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
12%
3.4
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
38%
-9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.37/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
16.2 Crosses 20.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Roda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.38 xG 1.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
259 Passes 405
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
22.09.2023 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
21.04.2023 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.08.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
29.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
10.12.2021 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 2-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-1
AWAY Roda
1.91 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
313 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Roda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Den Bosch had 49% of the ball to Roda's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.91 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Den Bosch and 1.67 for Roda.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Roda?

Den Bosch 1-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 43%, draw 29%, Roda 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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