Den Bosch 0-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.87
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
11%
7.1
X/2
13%
4.77
X/X
13%
4.92
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
21%
2.78
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -30%
1.23/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.52
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.8 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Roda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.42 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 418
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
21.04.2023 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.08.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
29.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
10.12.2021 Roda Roda 3-2 HT 2-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
26.10.2021 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
0-0
AWAY Roda
0.22 xG 0.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
222 Passes 356
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Roda played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 42% of the ball to Roda's 58%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.22 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Den Bosch and 2.00 for Roda.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Roda?

Den Bosch 0-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 32%, draw 26%, Roda 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5
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