FC Oss 1-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Jan 2024

FC Oss
1-0 HT 0-0
Telstar
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

FC Oss vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.34
1/2
4%
28.0
1/X
4%
13.9
X/1
15%
6.84
X/2
9%
4.48
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.94
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.45
Value flag · 2/X at 13.45 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Oss v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
0.99/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.77
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +87%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.6 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

FC Oss vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Telstar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
324 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.03.2023 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
06.01.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
04.03.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.11.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
16.01.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 1-4 HT 0-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2

FC Oss 1-0 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-0
AWAY Telstar
0.77 xG 0.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 402
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss edged past Telstar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Oss had 39% of the ball to Telstar's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 1.67 for Telstar.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Telstar?

FC Oss 1-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 31%, draw 27%, Telstar 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Telstar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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