Willem II 1-1 Ajax II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Jan 2024

Willem II W→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Ajax II
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Also in play: 4-1 · 3-2 — 9% together
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Willem II vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
76%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.0
Away
10%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
28%
2.67
Over
72%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.08
2-3
37%
2.06
4-5
34%
2.51
6+
17%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.52
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
3%
20.9
X/1
19%
3.63
X/2
4%
17.8
X/X
8%
8.61
2/1
4%
19.7
2/2
5%
12.35
2/X
3%
20.5
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Willem II v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Willem II The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY Ajax II The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.72 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.74 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.72
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

Willem II vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 0.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
317 Passes 502
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
24.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
31.10.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
30.03.2014 Willem II Willem II 7-1 HT 4-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.09.2013 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2

Willem II 1-1 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1 - 1
AWAY Ajax II
1.26 xG 0.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
335 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Willem II vs Ajax II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Willem II and Ajax II with a point apiece.

File this under upsets: a 76% lean on Willem II went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Willem II's favour, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.40 a game for Willem II against 1.00 for Ajax II.

Willem II vs Ajax II Result & Final Score

Willem II 1 - 1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Willem II vs Ajax II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Willem II 76%, draw 14%, Ajax II 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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